Monday, January 17, 2011

The Economist Recommends Restructuring

In this week's Economist, the publication concludes that Europe's ongoing attempts to solve its sovereign debt crisis "are failing." The article continues by arguing that unless rich countries become more willing to pay for the fiscal problems of their debt-ridden neighbors - a prospect the Economist deems a "political non-starter" - then the only reasonable alternative is to restructure debts. And the Economist believes this should all be done sooner rather than later.

I wholeheartedly agree.

However, the article goes on to argue that Europe's hitherto failed attempt to avoid default "was worth trying" and that "the dangers from debt restructuring have diminished." Because "Banks have had time to build up more capital - and palm off some of their holdings of dodgy sovereign bonds to the European Central Bank," restructuring will be a much more decent affair now, the magazine contends.

I wholeheartedly disagree.

Transferring the costs of a debt restructuring from bank investors to the citizens of Europe is hardly a good thing. Rather, it represents yet another forced expropriation of wealth from taxpayers to benefit the financial system.

European leaders seem reluctant to stick banks with the losses associated with sovereign restructurings. It is true that a good deal of financial turmoil would result if banks were made to suffer the full extent of the losses on their sovereign bond holdings. But there are far superior - and less costly - ways to avoid a major collapse of the European financial system than just transferring the losses to the public. For instance, the European Central Bank could recapitalize failing banks in exchange for massive equity stakes in any institutions requiring funds. These equity stakes might later be sold for a profit. Such a system is hardly ideal; it is a violation of free market principles and bails out failing institutions. But it is fairer and cheaper than the approach suggested by the Economist.

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